leggere >L'invasione dell'Iraq e la cattura di Saddam? un regalo a Bin Laden (25 apr.04)
I riflessi a livello strategico della cattura di Saddam Hussein(°)
di Giuseppe Brindisi
14 dicembre 2003 

Saddam è stato catturato dagli Americani.
E' il primo successo dell’intelligence dall’attentato alle Twin Towers dell’11 settembre 2001 .
Quali riflessi avrà la cattura del dittatore iracheno a livello strategico?

L’analisi dell’evento, svolta per definire i possibili effetti  sul ruolo dei protagonisti della guerra in Iraq, siano essi:
-diretti ( Coalizione, forze della guerriglia e del terrore, oppositori di Saddam) , -indiretti (antiamericani, fiancheggiatori dei terroristi e Paesi canaglia), siano, -indifferenti (governi di sinistra europei, Russia, Cina, Paesi arabi ambigui), consente di osservare che :






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per gli approfondimenti vai  a >>>cattura di Saddam Hussein(°)>>> Sono trattati i seguenti particolari: (tratti da La Repubblica):
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leggi il saggio storico "La fine dei grandi vinti nella Storia: da Dario ad Annibale, Vergingetorige, Pomeo, Antonio e Cleopatra, Napoleone, Hitler, Mussolini".
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The reflexes to strategic level of the capture of Saddam Hussein
di Giuseppe Brindisi
14 dicembre 2003

Saddam, tonight, he is captured by the Americans.
The first success of the intelligence from the attack of September 11 th 2001 to the Twin Towers.
Which reflected it will have the capture to strategic level?  

The analysis of the event, to define the meaning that it assumes for the direct protagonists of the war in Iraq (the coalition, the strengths of the terror, the Iraq opponents of Saddam), both for the indirect protagonists (anti americans of the whole world and supporters of the terrorists and Countries scoundrel), both, anchor, for the indifferent protagonists or almost (European left-wing governments, Russia, China, ambiguous Arabic Countries), it allows to hypothesize the followings reflexes for the enemies of USA, declared and declared not but camouflaged.

The definitive end of Saddam, is serious loss of direct support, financial helps and indiretto,e, above all of symbol of resistance to the imperialism USA. 
 
For USA it is sure success. The consents for Bush will have a strong rise. 
Bush's allies, from Berlusconi to Blair, they will go out strengthens from there in inside and foreign politics. 
 
The Bush doctrine  will widen the consents and will be grown stronger theory of the preventive war, of the export of the Democracy, of the necessity of a New World Order.
 
The antiamericanis, pacifists, post communist, the right anti plutocratic, religious integralist, dictatorial from I maltreat, they will have hardest life, so also for the European Countries that insist in to ignore the new course undertaken by the Great River of the History. 
 
The capture of Saddam, will be beneficent also for the financial market. The perception of great stability of the international relationships will be had and, above all, of the improve possibilities of control of the price of the oil, considering that Iraq, bystander world producer of oil, will be under the full control USA.  

This positive influence grafting itself on the resumption economic USA, enacted by a 8 %increase of the American LIP and of the diminution of the deficit inside USA, will provoke good conditions for a durable rally.  

International terrorism won't lose deadly virulence up to when the integralistis won't be defeated and up to when you/they won't be you agree of peace in the Middle East. Also here, if Bush will know how to exploit the greatest liberty of action that will come him from the inside and international strengthening, the probabilities of success of the " road maps " project will assume concrete consistence to the goals of a valid accord of peace between Israeli and Palestine. 

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